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Gerrymandering and Political Good Behaviour: Why the Dems Can Still Lose
A Quick Refresher Before November We are all expecting the GOP to hemorrhage congressional seats this November. Great. This is a de facto requirement of American politics, actually. That is, for the president’s party to lose seats in their first midterms – it’s happened in 20 of the last 22 cycles. And given Trump’s bonkers first year in office and the plummeting approval rating that has ensued, this is all but guaranteed. But will a few more blue seats genuinely transform w
Sebastian Smith
May 174 min read


Know Your Psychopolitics
“The title ‘Eyes Wide Shut’ captures the movie's central paradox: seeing without understanding. Kubrick suggests that power structures are not hidden, but ignored, existing in plain sight within accepted rituals and social norms. The greatest illusion is not secrecy itself, but the belief that we would recognise the truth if it stood directly in front of us .” The other day, I got into a rather heated political discussion with a couple of old friends. We were discussing decli
Sebastian Smith
Feb 214 min read


‘Boutique’ Republicans and The Right’s Nazi Problem
The catalyst for the collapse of establishment MAGA began on October 7th. However, the ingredients necessary for its fracture have been stewing in the Republican political machine for the better part of a decade. MAGA, their vitriolic ideology, and their destructive attachment to the state of Israel, I argue, now only have themselves to blame. A little over a month ago, Politico dropped an exclusive report that focused on leaked messages from a Young Republicans Telegram gr
Sebastian Smith
Nov 27, 20254 min read


AI's Potemkin Profits
It’s very easy to get attention in business news by printing a headline with words to the effect of “Leading Investor X Warns of Impending Recession”, “InvestWithUs CEO Thinks Current Market is A Bubble”, or my personal favorite: “Michael Burry Just Sold All His Stocks.” The fact you’re reading this is somewhat proof of this. In a shockingly high number of cases, these events never materialise, at least not in the way they were predicted to, and we’re rarely called out on ou
Sebastian Smith
Oct 20, 20255 min read


Advanced Knowledge, Advanced Implications: Dissecting the Doha Strike
My family is based in a residential tower block in The Pearl – a small artificial oasis on the northern end of Doha. I had just sat down...
Sebastian Smith
Sep 24, 20255 min read


Soft-Launching a Scapegoat: Trump’s Fed Fixation
In light of Donald Trump’s recent firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook , it pays to recall that Trump’s Fed fixation actually began earlier...
Sebastian Smith
Sep 6, 20254 min read
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